AS Marsa vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
64.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
STA
0 - 0
ASD
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ASA
0 - 1
ASD
10%
18%
72%
|
57 | 16 | 41 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
0 - 1
ESJ
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ESH
1 - 1
ASD
25%
30%
45%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
3 - 2
ASR
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 2
ESP
12%
21%
67%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 0
ZAM
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
ZAM
3 - 1
ESP
42%
28%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CSH
0 - 1
ESP
21%
28%
51%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
CAB
0 - 2
ESP
30%
29%
42%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |