ASPAC vs Mogas 90 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TON
3 - 0
ASP
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ASP
3 - 2
ASO
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SEM
1 - 2
ASP
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
ASP
2 - 0
ADJ
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ASP
1 - 0
JEU
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mogas 90
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BUF
2 - 1
MOG
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JEU
0 - 0
MOG
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AVR
0 - 0
MOG
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MOG
0 - 2
DRA
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TON
0 - 0
MOG
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |