Cittadella vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
22.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 0
CTT
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
INT
4 - 0
CTT
85%
10%
5%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
SAV
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
ASC
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 0
CTT
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TER
1 - 0
CAR
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
TER
2 - 4
LEC
33%
26%
42%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
TER
2 - 1
PAD
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 1
TER
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
LIV
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |