Cittadella vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 3
NOC
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
CTT
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CTT
4 - 2
VIC
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SAS
2 - 0
CTT
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 4
PAD
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
BRE
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASG
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ABN
2 - 1
MOD
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MOD
3 - 2
PES
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |