Cittadella vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 2
CTT
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 2
CTT
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
CTT
3 - 0
VER
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
PRG
0 - 0
CTT
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CTT
2 - 2
ASC
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
BRE
2 - 3
BEN
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 3
PAD
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
CRO
1 - 0
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
BEN
4 - 2
NUO
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
VER
0 - 3
BEN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |