SSC Bari vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SAL
2 - 0
BAR
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 3
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
VNZ
3 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 0
FIO
30%
27%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
BAR
4 - 1
TRI
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PES
1 - 0
PIA
24%
27%
48%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
PES
0 - 0
LIV
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
MES
2 - 2
PES
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
PES
2 - 2
SAL
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 1
PES
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |