SSC Bari vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
EMP
2 - 1
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
BAR
0 - 2
RAV
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
CHI
3 - 2
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
BAR
1 - 1
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
REG
2 - 2
BAR
27%
28%
45%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
LEC
2 - 1
USC
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
CHI
1 - 0
LEC
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
LEC
1 - 0
GEN
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
EMP
1 - 1
LEC
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
LEC
2 - 2
VNZ
59%
22%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |