SSC Bari vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 1
PIA
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
32%
30%
39%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 1
BAR
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 2
CAT
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
CRO
2 - 1
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
ATL
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
MAN
3 - 1
RIM
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
VIC
0 - 1
MAN
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
PIA
1 - 3
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
MOD
0 - 0
MAN
60%
25%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |