Arzanese vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ASD
2 - 0
ARZ
54%
23%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ARZ
2 - 0
RAA
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ARZ
0 - 1
LAQ
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
ARZ
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 0
GAV
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 0
SAL
14%
21%
65%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 0
FOL
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
APR
0 - 0
BOR
49%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 0
TER
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VIG
2 - 1
BOR
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |