Arzachena vs Afragolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MUR
3 - 2
ARZ
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 3
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ARZ
0 - 2
FOR
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 0
ARZ
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 2
TNF
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
AFR
0 - 2
FOR
29%
21%
49%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 0
AFR
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AFR
0 - 2
CAR
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
AFR
1 - 5
VIS
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LAT
3 - 0
AFR
73%
18%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |