Arsenal vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
ARS
3 - 0
DER
62%
19%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1938 |
ARS
3 - 1
LEI
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 1
ARS
56%
20%
24%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1938 |
WOL
3 - 1
ARS
60%
19%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1938 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
65%
18%
17%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
BIR
0 - 2
PNE
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1938 |
LIV
2 - 2
PNE
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1938 |
PNE
1 - 1
WBA
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1938 |
PNE
3 - 1
LEE
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1938 |
GRI
1 - 1
PNE
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |