Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ASV
0 - 2
ARS
16%
23%
61%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ARS
4 - 1
MID
81%
14%
6%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
EVE
1 - 1
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
LEE
1 - 4
ARS
20%
24%
56%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
0 - 1
ARS
16%
23%
61%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
MID
3 - 3
LEI
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ARS
4 - 1
MID
81%
14%
6%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
MID
2 - 1
FUL
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
MID
2 - 0
NOT
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
MID
0 - 1
MUD
15%
22%
63%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |