Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
58%
22%
20%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
LIV
1 - 2
ARS
53%
24%
23%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2001 |
ARS
1 - 3
NEW
67%
19%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
WHU
1 - 1
ARS
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
BBU
4 - 0
ARS
25%
26%
49%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
NEW
3 - 0
MID
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
MID
0 - 1
MUD
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
LIV
2 - 0
MID
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
BBU
0 - 1
MID
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
MID
0 - 0
IPS
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |