Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
17.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1936 |
BIR
1 - 3
ARS
46%
23%
32%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1936 |
ARS
4 - 1
LEE
68%
17%
15%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1936 |
LIV
2 - 1
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1936 |
SUN
2 - 1
ARS
63%
18%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1936 |
ARS
0 - 0
GRI
66%
18%
17%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1936 |
MID
3 - 0
BRE
59%
20%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1936 |
BOL
1 - 3
MID
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1936 |
MID
2 - 0
EVE
51%
21%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1936 |
HUR
2 - 0
MID
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
MID
5 - 5
SUN
48%
22%
30%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |