Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1932 |
HUR
1 - 2
ARS
45%
24%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1932 |
ASV
1 - 1
ARS
65%
17%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1932 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
44%
21%
34%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1932 |
ARS
3 - 1
SHW
60%
20%
21%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1932 |
LIV
2 - 1
ARS
48%
22%
30%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1932 |
MID
1 - 0
EVE
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1932 |
SHE
2 - 1
MID
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1932 |
MID
1 - 0
WBA
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1932 |
OPA
2 - 0
MID
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1932 |
MID
4 - 0
GRI
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |