Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 1
HUR
82%
13%
6%
|
92 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
ARS
3 - 0
IPS
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ARS
3 - 0
WIG
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
LEE
1 - 3
ARS
15%
21%
64%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
WHU
0 - 3
ARS
17%
21%
62%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHL
30%
26%
45%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 2
WHU
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 2
EVE
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
SCU
1 - 5
EVE
27%
27%
47%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 1
TOT
38%
25%
37%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | +1 |