Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Nalchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 0
TER
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
DIN
1 - 2
ARS
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
BAL
2 - 1
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ARS
3 - 1
SGI
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 0
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2004 |
FCO
2 - 1
NAL
23%
28%
49%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
NAL
2 - 1
CHE
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
NAL
0 - 0
ANZ
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
BAL
2 - 3
NAL
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
DIN
2 - 1
NAL
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |