Arsenal Tula vs FC Soyuz Izhevsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 0
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
KAM
2 - 0
ARS
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
NEF
1 - 1
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 0
ELI
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2004 |
ARS
3 - 2
DMK
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Soyuz Izhevsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2004 |
FCO
1 - 0
SGI
25%
28%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
SGI
0 - 0
CHE
27%
28%
46%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SGI
0 - 1
ANZ
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2004 |
NAL
4 - 1
SGI
49%
28%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
SGI
2 - 0
BAL
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |