Arsenal Tula vs Dnepr Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
VOL
2 - 0
ARS
49%
28%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
DIN
0 - 1
ARS
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
ARS
0 - 2
TOR
30%
29%
41%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 1
NAR
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2006 |
FKR
3 - 0
ARS
46%
28%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
DIN
0 - 2
DNE
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
VOL
3 - 2
DNE
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
DNE
1 - 1
NAR
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
DNE
0 - 2
TOR
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
FKR
3 - 0
DNE
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |