Arsenal vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.2%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
86.1%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
13%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.3%
0-4
9.8%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
13.5%
0-5
5.9%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.7%
0-6
3%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.7%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
ARS
1 - 1
BRY
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
ARS
2 - 0
PAN
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
ARS
0 - 1
NYC
10%
16%
75%
|
11 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
IND
0 - 2
ARA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 0
IND
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
IND
2 - 2
SFF
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
GEM
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
IND
0 - 0
COS
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |