Arsenal CF vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
9.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
RAC
1 - 1
ACF
70%
17%
14%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
SMA
5 - 3
ACF
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
ACF
5 - 0
PON
80%
12%
9%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
CAL
1 - 1
ACF
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ACF
2 - 2
VAL
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
CDO
2 - 2
PON
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
CAL
1 - 0
CDO
72%
15%
13%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
CDO
0 - 1
VAL
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ARO
3 - 1
CDO
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
CDO
2 - 0
LEM
81%
11%
8%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |