Arsenal CF vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
LEM
1 - 1
ACF
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
ACF
4 - 1
SAN
87%
9%
5%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
PON
0 - 1
ACF
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
ACF
0 - 0
CEL
77%
13%
10%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
CDO
2 - 1
ACF
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
LUG
4 - 1
ARO
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
LUG
4 - 0
LEM
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
SAN
3 - 2
LUG
52%
22%
27%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
LUG
1 - 1
PON
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 1
LUG
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |