Arsenal CF vs Club Lemos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
7.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
PON
7 - 0
ACF
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
ACF
2 - 1
ZAM
77%
13%
10%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
MAR
0 - 1
ACF
60%
20%
21%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
ACF
2 - 2
JUV
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
LUG
0 - 0
ACF
75%
14%
10%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Club Lemos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
LEM
1 - 0
PON
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
CAL
4 - 0
LEM
69%
16%
15%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
LEM
1 - 2
VAL
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
ARO
1 - 1
LEM
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
SMA
2 - 1
LEM
72%
15%
13%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |