Arsenal CF vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
ALO
2 - 0
ACF
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
COX
0 - 1
ACF
49%
24%
28%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
ACF
0 - 1
RCF
10%
18%
72%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
DEP
3 - 1
ACF
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
ACF
0 - 0
ATO
53%
24%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
CHO
7 - 2
FOZ
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 1
COM
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
CEL
0 - 0
CHO
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
ARE
1 - 1
CHO
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
CHO
5 - 1
ALO
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |