Česká Lípa vs Jablonec II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
8º
15º
12º
36
6º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
78.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 53 |
4º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
61.5% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 31 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 28 |
17º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Česká Lípa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SLI
4 - 0
ACL
50%
23%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ACL
3 - 1
SOK
55%
22%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FKC
4 - 1
ACL
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
MBI
1 - 1
ACL
35%
25%
41%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ACL
3 - 1
BMS
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JBN
1 - 1
KOL
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SLI
0 - 0
JBN
63%
20%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
UST
4 - 0
JBN
74%
16%
11%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
JBN
3 - 0
SOK
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FKC
1 - 1
JBN
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |