Arroyo vs Gimnástico Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 2
ARR
32%
24%
45%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ARR
2 - 2
SAM
58%
23%
20%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
TRU
1 - 1
ARR
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ARR
7 - 0
ZUR
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CAC
1 - 2
ARR
61%
21%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástico Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GIM
1 - 0
HER
33%
25%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
COR
4 - 3
GIM
74%
16%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
GIM
2 - 0
CIU
78%
15%
7%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 5
GIM
32%
25%
44%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
GIM
0 - 1
GAR
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |