Arrifanense vs Caldas São Jorge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+522%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arrifanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SMA
0 - 0
ARR
13%
19%
69%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 2
SAN
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
5 - 1
ARR
70%
17%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 0
LOB
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 0
ARR
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas São Jorge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CSJ
2 - 1
SMA
34%
23%
42%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
CSJ
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CSJ
1 - 4
MAN
8%
16%
76%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LOB
3 - 0
CSJ
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CSJ
3 - 2
ARG
10%
17%
73%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +2 |