Arras vs PSG II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
QUE
4 - 3
ARR
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 1
LEN
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LIL
4 - 3
ARR
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
MAN
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ASB
2 - 1
ARR
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
PSG II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
PSG
0 - 3
AAC
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SED
4 - 1
PSG
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PSG
2 - 1
CAL
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
PSG
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PSG
0 - 0
IVR
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |