Arosa vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.4%
Win probability
3.86
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.8%
5-0
7%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
9%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
BER
2 - 3
ARO
56%
19%
25%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
ARO
2 - 2
SAN
78%
12%
10%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
ORE
3 - 1
ARO
65%
17%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
ARO
6 - 3
SGL
50%
20%
30%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +3 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
PON
4 - 3
ARO
57%
20%
23%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
ACF
0 - 4
POP
43%
23%
35%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
RJU
8 - 0
ACF
83%
10%
7%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
ACF
1 - 3
AVI
38%
22%
39%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
CAU
6 - 0
ACF
83%
11%
7%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ACF
4 - 2
PON
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +4 |