Army FC vs Assumption analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Army FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
NBC
0 - 1
ARM
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ARM
4 - 1
RAN
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 2
BCC
45%
24%
32%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 1
BUR
12%
19%
69%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
RBA
0 - 3
ARM
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Assumption
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2015 |
ASS
4 - 1
RBA
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
RAY
1 - 2
ASS
40%
24%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
ASS
3 - 2
CUS
33%
24%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
RJW
0 - 3
ASS
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ASS
0 - 1
KBE
55%
22%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |