Ariznabarra vs Bruno Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
NAN
3 - 1
ARI
21%
23%
57%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ARI
5 - 0
LAN
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
IZA
2 - 2
ARI
15%
21%
63%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ARI
3 - 0
BAS
82%
12%
5%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
IRU
0 - 3
ARI
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Bruno Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BRU
0 - 1
AUR
21%
24%
55%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ADC
0 - 0
BRU
18%
22%
61%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
BRU
3 - 1
ZAR
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ELP
0 - 1
BRU
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BRU
2 - 1
ALE
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +2 |