Ocniţa vs Tarigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ocniţa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CFR
1 - 3
ARO
13%
17%
70%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARO
1 - 1
VCU
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ARO
4 - 0
FCP
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 1
ARO
59%
19%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 2
ARO
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tarigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 6
FCE
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
EFV
6 - 1
FCT
54%
21%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 4
FCO
38%
21%
42%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CFS
0 - 1
FCT
57%
20%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 2
ARO
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |