Ards FC vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
OMA
1 - 0
ARD
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
ARC
2 - 1
ARD
43%
25%
31%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
ARD
0 - 0
BAN
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2001 |
BAN
0 - 2
ARD
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
ARD
3 - 0
LIM
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
LIN
1 - 1
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2001 |
FTK
1 - 0
LIN
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2001 |
LIN
0 - 0
FTK
39%
24%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2001 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIN
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
CRU
1 - 3
LIN
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |