Arconatese vs US Breno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
44.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 2
ARC
56%
22%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
USP
2 - 0
ARC
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ARC
2 - 1
CAS
39%
22%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 2
ARC
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
VFC
3 - 3
ARC
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
USB
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
USB
2 - 2
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
USB
3 - 0
CAL
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
USB
1 - 1
VCB
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SCA
1 - 2
USB
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |