Arconatese vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARC
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 3
VIL
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 4
ARC
20%
21%
59%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ARC
3 - 3
VCB
38%
23%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 0
OLG
69%
18%
12%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ADR
2 - 0
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAL
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEO
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAS
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |