Archena vs Ceutí At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Archena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MIN
1 - 0
ARC
60%
22%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ARC
2 - 1
LOR
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
ARC
72%
18%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ARC
5 - 1
CUA
43%
25%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 2
ARC
55%
23%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ceutí At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CEU
0 - 0
ALB
56%
23%
22%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
BUL
2 - 1
CEU
55%
23%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
LAH
2 - 0
CEU
31%
26%
44%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CEU
1 - 1
CAR
35%
26%
39%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CEU
1 - 0
ABA
50%
24%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |