Arbroath vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
ALL
4 - 2
ARB
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
ARB
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 2
HOM
18%
23%
60%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
DUM
1 - 1
ARB
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 2
DUM
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ROS
2 - 0
ELG
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
ELG
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ELG
0 - 1
PET
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ELG
1 - 1
EDI
61%
21%
19%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BLA
4 - 1
ELG
44%
23%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |