Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1939 |
ARB
4 - 0
PAR
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
ARB
3 - 0
AYR
41%
22%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
CEL
2 - 0
ARB
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
ARB
2 - 1
STM
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
HIB
1 - 1
ARB
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
FAL
0 - 0
DUM
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1922 |
CLY
0 - 1
DUM
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
DUM
3 - 2
HOM
43%
25%
33%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1922 |
DUM
3 - 2
MHE
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
DUM
0 - 4
GLA
22%
25%
54%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |