Arbroath vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1946 |
DUM
8 - 0
ARB
50%
22%
29%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
ARB
1 - 3
DUN
70%
16%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
CWB
5 - 2
ARB
43%
23%
34%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 1946 |
ARB
4 - 1
DUM
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1939 |
ARB
4 - 0
PAR
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1946 |
CWB
4 - 1
DUN
64%
17%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
DUM
0 - 4
CWB
62%
18%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
CWB
5 - 2
ARB
43%
23%
34%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 1946 |
DUN
2 - 0
CWB
51%
20%
29%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1934 |
CWB
6 - 0
STM
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +2 |