Ararat vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
TFS
6 - 0
FCA
88%
8%
4%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 5
SKA
22%
21%
58%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
EMM
3 - 2
FCA
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
EMM
27%
23%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SKA
3 - 1
FCA
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
JKJ
3 - 0
EMM
21%
22%
58%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
TIN
3 - 0
JKJ
84%
12%
5%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
JKJ
1 - 2
MAA
22%
20%
59%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MAA
4 - 1
JKJ
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
JKJ
2 - 6
TIN
14%
20%
67%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |