Aragvi Dusheti vs Tbilisi 2016 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
94.1%
Win probability
4.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.2%
8-0
2.1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.7%
7-0
4.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
5.3%
6-0
6.9%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
9.2%
5-0
10%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.9%
4-0
12%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
4.1%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.1%
1.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
WIT
3 - 1
ADU
38%
23%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
ADU
3 - 1
ACH
67%
18%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VOY
1 - 1
ADU
37%
23%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
ADU
4 - 1
APK
89%
8%
3%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
ADU
27%
23%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Tbilisi 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
TBI
2 - 4
NOR
6%
11%
84%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
TIA
0 - 4
TBI
9%
15%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
TBI
4 - 2
TIF
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
WIT
1 - 1
TBI
93%
5%
2%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
TBI
1 - 6
ACH
6%
11%
83%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | -2 |