Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
ANZ
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 0
ARA
40%
29%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
LAR
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TUC
0 - 0
ARA
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Yaracuyanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
YAR
2 - 0
ZUL
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CFC
1 - 0
YAR
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
YAR
1 - 1
CAR
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LLA
3 - 1
YAR
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
YAR
0 - 4
TRU
20%
26%
55%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |