Aragua FC vs Guaros de Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
ARA
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
DEP
1 - 1
ARA
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 0
ARA
33%
27%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
ARA
1 - 1
DEP
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2008 |
ARA
2 - 0
MIN
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guaros de Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 1
MIN
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CFC
1 - 1
GUA
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 1
ZUL
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
ANZ
3 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 3
EST
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |