Aragua FC vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LAR
1 - 1
ARA
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
ARA
1 - 0
MIN
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
ARA
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
ARA
0 - 1
TRU
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
ARA
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 1
ZUL
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 2
LAR
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MIN
1 - 0
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 2
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
MIN
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |