Aprilia vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
50.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
APR
1 - 2
SSM
36%
27%
37%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BIS
0 - 0
APR
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
APR
0 - 2
POM
33%
26%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FON
4 - 2
APR
74%
15%
10%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
APR
3 - 2
SER
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ACI
1 - 2
FRA
27%
25%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 1
TUR
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
GAL
3 - 0
FRA
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 1
TOR
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FRA
4 - 1
BIS
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |