Aprilia vs Melfi analysis

Aprilia Melfi
36 ELO 30
-7.3% Tilt -5.4%
19957º General ELO ranking 18599º
489º Country ELO ranking 430º
ELO win probability
56.4%
Aprilia
23.5%
Draw
20.2%
Melfi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
Aprilia
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.2%
Win probability
Melfi
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Aprilia
Melfi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aprilia
Aprilia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2013
MAR
Martina Franca
1 - 2
Aprilia
APR
48%
24%
28%
34 34 0 0
07 Apr. 2013
PON
Pontedera
1 - 1
Aprilia
APR
64%
22%
15%
34 44 10 0
24 Mar. 2013
APR
Aprilia
1 - 1
Salernitana
SAL
15%
22%
63%
33 53 20 +1
17 Mar. 2013
USP
Poggibonsi
1 - 2
Aprilia
APR
48%
25%
27%
32 34 2 +1
10 Mar. 2013
APR
Aprilia
1 - 0
Vigor Lamezia
VIG
49%
26%
25%
31 33 2 +1

Matches

Melfi
Melfi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2013
ASM
Melfi
1 - 1
Pontedera
PON
20%
25%
55%
30 43 13 0
07 Apr. 2013
SAL
Salernitana
2 - 1
Melfi
ASM
82%
13%
5%
31 53 22 -1
24 Mar. 2013
ASM
Melfi
2 - 1
L'Aquila
LAQ
36%
27%
37%
29 34 5 +2
17 Mar. 2013
ARZ
Arzanese
0 - 1
Melfi
ASM
49%
25%
26%
28 28 0 +1
10 Mar. 2013
ASM
Melfi
4 - 0
Fondi
FON
73%
18%
9%
28 18 10 0