APEP vs Pafos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ASI
0 - 0
APE
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
APE
1 - 1
OMO
62%
21%
16%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
DIG
1 - 4
APE
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
ATR
0 - 0
APE
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
APE
3 - 1
AKR
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ONI
2 - 0
PAF
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
PAF
3 - 1
ASI
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
OMO
0 - 0
PAF
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
DIG
0 - 1
PAF
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
PAF
3 - 1
ATR
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |