APEP vs Ethnikos Achnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
DOX
1 - 0
APE
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
APE
0 - 0
AEL
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
APE
3 - 3
PAF
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
OMO
4 - 3
APE
73%
19%
8%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
APE
0 - 1
AEL
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ETH
0 - 4
APO
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ETH
1 - 0
DOX
59%
22%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
PAF
0 - 0
ETH
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
ETH
2 - 1
OMO
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
APO
0 - 2
ETH
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |