Aparecidense vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
GIO
1 - 1
APA
14%
19%
67%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
APA
2 - 2
IPO
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
APA
1 - 1
CAM
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 1
APA
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 0
APA
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 1
VIL
11%
23%
66%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
GIO
78%
16%
6%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
REM
0 - 0
VIL
36%
28%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
REM
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
NME
1 - 1
VIL
11%
18%
70%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |