Aparecidense vs Iporá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
APA
1 - 1
CAM
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 1
APA
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 0
APA
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
APA
4 - 2
ABC
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
APA
1 - 1
UBE
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Iporá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 1
IPO
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
IPO
0 - 0
GRE
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 2
IPO
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
IPO
2 - 1
JAR
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
IPO
0 - 0
VIL
16%
25%
59%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |